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Options Caller

Options · Started Oct 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
25.7%
Max Drawdown
76.9%
Trades
46
Win Trades
80.4%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
4.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018301.3250.831.71753.5
2019-68.54.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-66.9
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/5/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age97 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades46
# Profitable37
% Profitable80.4%
Avg trade duration54.5 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown76.9%
drawdown periodJan 03, 2019 - Jan 11, 2019
Annual Return (Compounded)25.7%
Avg win$6,089
Avg loss$17,237

Ratios

W:L ratio1.45
Sharpe Ratio0.60
Sortino Ratio1.14
Calmar Ratio1.10

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life165.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)347.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)25.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)30.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity207.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.9%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss44.5%
Chance of 20% account loss23.5%
Chance of 30% account loss7.0%
Chance of 40% account loss2.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$17,237
Avg Win$6,089
# Winners37
Sum Trade PL (losers)$155,136
Sum Trade PL (winners)$225,299
Num Months Winners4
# Losers9
% Winners80.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table96

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)54.50
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.91
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago2752

Regression

Alpha0.08
Beta-0.07
Treynor Index-1.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.16
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.32
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.04
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-183.40
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats99.78
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.89
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.42
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.57
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.33

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.61
SD2.75
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.58
df43
t1.12
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.61
Sortino ratio5.69
Upside Potential Ratio6.30
Upside part of mean1.79
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD2.75
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms40
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion1.61
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion2.75
Covariance-0.12
r-0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)-2.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.21
Mean Square Error7.43
DF error42
t(b)-1.34
p(b)0.91
t(a)1.48
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.22
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.64
Jensen alpha (a)2.21
Mean0.51
SD1.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.45
df43
t0.87
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.48
Sortino ratio1.26
Upside Potential Ratio1.84
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD1.05
Downside SD0.41
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms40
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.51
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion1.13
Covariance-0.04
r-0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.90
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.70
Mean Square Error1.26
DF error42
t(b)-1.15
p(b)0.87
t(a)1.16
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.93
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.70
VaR(95%)0.39
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.46
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean0.63
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.19
df979
t2.31
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio2.60
Upside Potential Ratio3.78
Upside part of mean0.92
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms33
N negative terms947
N of observations980
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.63
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance-0.01
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.66
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error978
t(b)-1.25
p(b)0.89
t(a)2.38
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.66
Mean0.50
SD0.51
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df979
t1.92
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.01
Sortino ratio1.68
Upside Potential Ratio2.78
Upside part of mean0.83
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms33
N negative terms947
N of observations980
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.50
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.51
Covariance-0.01
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.52
Mean Square Error0.26
DF error978
t(b)-1.15
p(b)0.87
t(a)1.98
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.52
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.32
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.28
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6619522781937664
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.71663446964284e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations44
Minimum0.46
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum6.07
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.60
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.46
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high2.64
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations980
Minimum0.60
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.53
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high33
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.34
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.54
Quartile 10.54
Median0.54
Quartile 30.54
Maximum0.54
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.04
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.64
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.64
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.64
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-433504960
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)8
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.72
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.72
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.56
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.68
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.70
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.10
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.10
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.55
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 81 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NFLX1901C370 long100Feb 26, 2019Feb 26, 2019($340)
NFLX1915N365 long100Feb 15, 2019Feb 15, 2019$3,360
NFLX1901N330 long100Jan 29, 2019Jan 29, 2019$2,960
NFLX1911M332.5 long500Jan 11, 2019Jan 11, 2019($35,146)
NFLX1911M320 long240Jan 10, 2019Jan 10, 2019($63,213)
NFLX1911M320 long120Jan 7, 2019Jan 8, 2019($29,977)
NFLX1904M290 long600Jan 4, 2019Jan 4, 2019($4,822)
NFLX1904A265 long20Jan 3, 2019Jan 3, 2019$3,412
NFLX1828L260 long2450Dec 28, 2018Dec 28, 2018$14,914
NFLX1828L250 long50Dec 27, 2018Dec 27, 2018$5,161
NFLX1828L250 long50Dec 26, 2018Dec 26, 2018$4,826
NFLX1821X250 long100Dec 21, 2018Dec 21, 2018$5,116
NFLX1821L250 long100Dec 20, 2018Dec 20, 2018$25,094
NFLX1821L260 long200Dec 20, 2018Dec 20, 2018($18,340)
NFLX1807L267.5 long1480Dec 7, 2018Dec 7, 2018($2,084)
NFLX1807L267.5 long80Dec 7, 2018Dec 7, 2018$3,900
NFLX1807L265 long80Dec 7, 2018Dec 7, 2018$2,219
NFLX1807L265 long40Dec 7, 2018Dec 7, 2018$3,908
UVXY1830W60.5 long100Nov 27, 2018Nov 27, 2018$6,860
UVXY1816W57 long1000Nov 16, 2018Nov 16, 2018$12,600
AA1816K33.5 long300Nov 15, 2018Nov 15, 2018$4,080
AA1823K35 long1000Nov 14, 2018Nov 14, 2018$18,600
AA1816K34.5 long1000Nov 14, 2018Nov 14, 2018$26,600
AA1816K34 long400Nov 13, 2018Nov 13, 2018$13,440
AA1816K33 long300Nov 13, 2018Nov 13, 2018$11,580
AA1816K31 long100Nov 12, 2018Nov 12, 2018$1,960
AA1809W39 long100Nov 9, 2018Nov 9, 2018$4,860
ES Z8short1Nov 7, 2018Nov 7, 2018$42
ES Z8long2Nov 7, 2018Nov 7, 2018$22
ES Z8short4Nov 7, 2018Nov 7, 2018$131

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.