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This is an archived track record. This track record was archived on 11/3/20 8:23 ET. (See latest track record)
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

The Juice is Loose
(131111844)

Created by: mdub mdub
Started: 09/2020
Stocks
Last trade: 1,242 days ago
Trading style: Equity Trend-following Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $59.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
-46.9%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(17.2%)
Max Drawdown
30
Num Trades
40.0%
Win Trades
0.3 : 1
Profit Factor
30.2%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020                                                        (2.5%)(6.8%)(15%)(2%)(24.3%)
2021(1.4%)(6.4%)(4.8%)(4.1%)(1.4%)(0.9%)(1.2%)(2.7%)+0.6%(2.3%)(1.2%)(0.7%)(23.8%)
2022+0.8%+1.8%(2.3%)+5.3%(1.4%)+4.0%(3.8%)+0.4%+7.8%(6%)(3.4%)+1.8%+4.3%
2023(3.4%)+1.2%+1.8%(1%)(1.2%)(1.9%)(2.2%)+1.0%+1.4%+2.6%(4.5%)(2%)(8.2%)
2024(0.8%)(1.2%)(1.2%)                                                      (3.1%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 38 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
10/27/20 9:30 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 155 37.11 10/28 9:30 33.20 3.5%
Trade id #131916867
Max drawdown($798)
Time10/28/20 0:00
Quant open155
Worst price31.96
Drawdown as % of equity-3.50%
($609)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.10
10/19/20 9:43 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 168 38.23 10/26 9:42 37.48 1.33%
Trade id #131766039
Max drawdown($306)
Time10/19/20 15:54
Quant open168
Worst price36.40
Drawdown as % of equity-1.33%
($129)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.36
10/16/20 11:23 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 74 147.36 10/19 14:50 139.10 2.67%
Trade id #131739575
Max drawdown($626)
Time10/19/20 14:50
Quant open74
Worst price138.89
Drawdown as % of equity-2.67%
($612)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.48
10/15/20 9:30 SPXL DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BULL 3X LONG 97 56.60 10/19 10:45 58.11 n/a $144
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.94
10/15/20 9:30 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 153 36.03 10/16 9:33 38.77 n/a $416
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.06
10/13/20 9:32 FNGU MICROSECTORS FANG+ 3X LEVERAGED ETN LONG 28 224.97 10/15 9:30 210.81 1.88%
Trade id #131665282
Max drawdown($444)
Time10/15/20 9:30
Quant open28
Worst price209.11
Drawdown as % of equity-1.88%
($397)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.56
10/13/20 9:30 SPXL DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BULL 3X LONG 103 60.98 10/14 11:54 58.90 0.94%
Trade id #131665001
Max drawdown($224)
Time10/14/20 11:54
Quant open103
Worst price58.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.94%
($216)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.06
10/9/20 9:54 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 158 39.12 10/14 11:47 37.94 0.83%
Trade id #131613026
Max drawdown($199)
Time10/14/20 11:47
Quant open158
Worst price37.86
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
($189)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.16
10/13/20 9:38 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 41 154.26 10/14 9:31 155.66 0.36%
Trade id #131665893
Max drawdown($86)
Time10/13/20 14:30
Quant open41
Worst price152.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.36%
$56
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.82
10/8/20 9:30 FNGD MICROSECTORS FANG -3X LEVERAGED ETNS DUE 1/8/38 LONG 740 8.17 10/12 9:30 7.56 1.9%
Trade id #131587841
Max drawdown($465)
Time10/12/20 9:30
Quant open740
Worst price7.54
Drawdown as % of equity-1.90%
($456)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/8/20 9:30 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 268 22.43 10/9 11:03 21.91 0.58%
Trade id #131587840
Max drawdown($142)
Time10/9/20 11:03
Quant open268
Worst price21.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
($144)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.36
10/6/20 9:32 FNGD MICROSECTORS FANG -3X LEVERAGED ETNS DUE 1/8/38 LONG 718 8.41 10/7 9:31 8.45 0.28%
Trade id #131538338
Max drawdown($70)
Time10/7/20 0:00
Quant open718
Worst price8.31
Drawdown as % of equity-0.28%
$25
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/6/20 9:30 FAZ DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BEAR LONG 442 13.65 10/7 9:31 13.66 0.72%
Trade id #131538010
Max drawdown($179)
Time10/6/20 14:48
Quant open442
Worst price13.24
Drawdown as % of equity-0.72%
($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.84
9/29/20 9:30 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 1,063 5.81 10/6 13:09 5.46 1.5%
Trade id #131412454
Max drawdown($372)
Time10/6/20 13:09
Quant open1,063
Worst price5.46
Drawdown as % of equity-1.50%
($377)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/2/20 9:30 SPXL DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BULL 3X LONG 120 51.08 10/6 9:30 55.00 n/a $468
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.40
10/1/20 9:30 FNGD MICROSECTORS FANG -3X LEVERAGED ETNS DUE 1/8/38 LONG 670 8.48 10/5 9:43 8.68 0.6%
Trade id #131457645
Max drawdown($146)
Time10/1/20 15:04
Quant open670
Worst price8.26
Drawdown as % of equity-0.60%
$129
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/1/20 9:30 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 242 22.85 10/5 9:30 24.06 0.28%
Trade id #131457654
Max drawdown($67)
Time10/1/20 15:04
Quant open242
Worst price22.57
Drawdown as % of equity-0.28%
$288
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.84
9/28/20 9:30 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 189 24.21 9/30 9:57 23.73 0.38%
Trade id #131390794
Max drawdown($92)
Time9/30/20 9:57
Quant open189
Worst price23.72
Drawdown as % of equity-0.38%
($95)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.78
9/28/20 9:30 FNGD MICROSECTORS FANG -3X LEVERAGED ETNS DUE 1/8/38 LONG 498 9.46 9/30 9:45 9.03 0.87%
Trade id #131390830
Max drawdown($214)
Time9/30/20 9:45
Quant open498
Worst price9.03
Drawdown as % of equity-0.87%
($224)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.96
9/24/20 9:48 DUST DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BEAR 2X LONG 390 20.61 9/29 10:05 18.74 3.01%
Trade id #131340389
Max drawdown($741)
Time9/29/20 10:05
Quant open390
Worst price18.71
Drawdown as % of equity-3.01%
($737)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.80
9/25/20 10:40 FAZ DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BEAR LONG 479 16.80 9/28 9:30 15.65 2.48%
Trade id #131364429
Max drawdown($627)
Time9/28/20 9:30
Quant open479
Worst price15.49
Drawdown as % of equity-2.48%
($561)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.58
9/24/20 9:49 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 1,242 6.50 9/25 15:01 6.13 1.78%
Trade id #131340502
Max drawdown($453)
Time9/25/20 15:01
Quant open1,242
Worst price6.13
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
($458)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/18/20 10:52 FNGU MICROSECTORS FANG+ 3X LEVERAGED ETN LONG 48 165.99 9/24 9:30 155.02 2.73%
Trade id #131242939
Max drawdown($690)
Time9/21/20 0:00
Quant open48
Worst price151.61
Drawdown as % of equity-2.73%
($528)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.96
9/22/20 9:37 FAZ DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BEAR LONG 524 15.35 9/23 14:16 16.25 0.36%
Trade id #131290074
Max drawdown($94)
Time9/22/20 9:40
Quant open524
Worst price15.17
Drawdown as % of equity-0.36%
$467
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/11/20 9:30 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 1,375 5.86 9/21 10:06 6.43 2.06%
Trade id #131129006
Max drawdown($522)
Time9/16/20 0:00
Quant open1,375
Worst price5.48
Drawdown as % of equity-2.06%
$786
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/14/20 10:00 DUST DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BEAR 2X LONG 490 16.64 9/21 9:30 18.33 2.02%
Trade id #131159397
Max drawdown($504)
Time9/15/20 0:00
Quant open490
Worst price15.61
Drawdown as % of equity-2.02%
$818
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.80
9/16/20 9:30 FNGU MICROSECTORS FANG+ 3X LEVERAGED ETN LONG 50 185.00 9/17 9:30 161.28 4.99%
Trade id #131198192
Max drawdown($1,250)
Time9/17/20 0:00
Quant open50
Worst price160.00
Drawdown as % of equity-4.99%
($1,187)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
9/11/20 9:56 FNGU MICROSECTORS FANG+ 3X LEVERAGED ETN LONG 51 160.66 9/15 9:30 183.91 2.07%
Trade id #131130979
Max drawdown($509)
Time9/11/20 13:31
Quant open51
Worst price150.67
Drawdown as % of equity-2.07%
$1,185
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.02

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    9/10/2020
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $24,860
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1290.19
  • Age
    43 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    30
  • # Profitable
    12
  • % Profitable
    40.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    85.7 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    17.16%
  • drawdown period
    Sept 22, 2020 - Oct 28, 2020
  • Cumul. Return
    -9.4%
  • Avg win
    $402.60
  • Avg loss
    $900.77
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $14,900
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $5,540
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.31:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -1.16
  • Sortino Ratio
    -1.46
  • Calmar Ratio
    -1.25
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.76540
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -8.49%
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    57.35%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -46.9%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.99%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    105.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    -0.094%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -15.7%
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    903
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    330
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $402
  • Avg Loss
    $901
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $16,224.000
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $4,830.000
  • # Winners
    12
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    83
  • Win / Loss
  • Num Months Winners
    13
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    43
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    18
  • % Winners
    40.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    123189.00
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    2053.16
  • Avg Trade Length
    85.5 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1237
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.63
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.84
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.03
  • Beta
    -0.63
  • Treynor Index
    0.08
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    1.16
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.04
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -1.544
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.34
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.06
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.575
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.049
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.311
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.49800
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03500
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    36
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    1.00%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -317041000

Strategy Description

System enters a position with approximately 32% of current equity on a limit day order. After position is open a Bracketed OCO order is entered with a stop loss and a target every day until the position closes.
**New Subscribers should enter open positions.
Current Watchlist: TQQQ / SQQQ, FNGU / FNGD, SPXL / SPXS, FAS / FAZ, NUGT / DUST

What is a One-Cancels-the-Other Order - (OCO)
A one-cancels-the-other order (OCO) is a pair of conditional orders stipulating that if one order executes, then the other order is automatically canceled. An OCO order often combines a stop order with a limit order on an automated trading platform. When either the stop or limit price is reached and the order executed, the other order automatically gets canceled. – Investopedia

Back-Test from 6/3/2019 to 9/11/2020
All Trades
Starting Capital $25,000.00
Ending Capital $151,504.34
Net Profit $126,504.34
Net Profit % 506.02%
Annualized Gain % 192.57%
Exposure 52.12%
Total Commission ($821.11)
Return on Cash $0.00
Margin Interest Paid $0.00
Dividends Received $0.00

Number of Trades 255
Average Profit $496.10
Average Profit % 3.11%
Average Bars Held 3.98

Winning Trades 145
Win Rate 56.86%
Gross Profit $226,395.46
Average Profit $1,561.35
Average Profit % 10.39%
Average Bars Held 4.14
Max Consecutive Winners 12

Losing Trades 110
Loss Rate 43.14%
Gross Loss ($99,891.12)
Average Loss ($908.10)
Average Loss % -6.49%
Average Bars Held 3.77
Max Consecutive Losses 5

Maximum Drawdown ($16,966.19)
Maximum Drawdown Date 9/8/2020
Maximum Drawdown % -11.85%
Maximum Drawdown % Date 10/4/2019

Sharpe Ratio 2.4
Profit Factor 2.27
Recovery Factor 7.46
Payoff Ratio 1.6
Profit / Total Bars $296.96

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2020-09-10
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
# Trades
30
# Profitable
12
% Profitable
40.0%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
-0.765
Sharpe Ratio
-1.16
Sortino Ratio
-1.46
Beta
-0.63
Alpha
-0.03
Leverage
1.63 Average
2.84 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)

Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.